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Minnesota at Okla City
Fri Dec 6, 2019
8:00pm ET
Oklahoma City, OK
Minnesota at Okla City: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Oklahoma City by 3.5, Total Points: 219
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIN | adv | OKC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 44-40-2 | 48-36-1 | |
| vs Division | 10-4-2 | 8-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 29-25-2 | 32-22-1 | |
| Streak | W4 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 20-21-2 | 28-15-0 | |
| Away | 24-19-0 | 20-21-1 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Toronto | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Atlanta | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Denver | +2.0 | W by 21 | +23.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | W by 28 | +20.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | Boston | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | New Orleans | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | San Antonio | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Golden State | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Golden State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | New Orleans | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | L by 13 | -17.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Memphis | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Utah | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Charlotte | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | San Antonio | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Memphis | -5.5 | W by 24 | +18.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | New Orleans | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Dallas | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Miami | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Philadelphia | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | LA Lakers | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | Sacramento | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Okla City | +2.0 | L by 23 | -21.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Dallas | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | LA Lakers | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | New York | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | New Orleans | -6.0 | L by 11 | -17.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Houston | -4.0 | W by 27 | +23.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Portland | -16.0 | W by 23 | +7.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Memphis | -12.0 | W by 15 | +3.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | L by 1 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Okla City | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Dallas | -13.0 | W by 34 | +21.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Orlando | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 21 | +13.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Chicago | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Milwaukee | -2.0 | W by 24 | +22.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | W by 21 | +26.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Portland | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Portland | -9.5 | W by 37 | +27.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | San Antonio | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Sacramento | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | LA Clippers | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Portland | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Indiana | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Cleveland | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Lakers | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.5 | W by 18 | +23.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | Utah | -7.5 | W by 19 | +11.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Utah | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Denver | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/22 | Home | Cleveland | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Golden State | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 15 | -1.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Denver | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Chicago | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Toronto | -17.5 | W by 48 | +30.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Washington | -18.0 | W by 9 | -9.0 |
| 04/10 | Away | Denver | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Atlanta | -12.0 | W by 3 | -9.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 04/20 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 04/23 | Home | Phoenix | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 04/26 | Away | Phoenix | +6.0 | W by 17 | +23.0 |
| 04/28 | Away | Phoenix | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
Okla City Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Chicago | +2.5 | W by 20 | +22.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Cleveland | +2.5 | W by 3 | +5.5 |
| 10/29 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 33 | -29.5 |
| 10/30 | Home | Detroit | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | New Orleans | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 11/03 | Home | Golden State | +6.0 | L by 2 | +4.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Cleveland | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Sacramento | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Phoenix | +3.5 | W by 12 | +15.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | San Antonio | -10.0 | W by 36 | +26.0 |
| 11/16 | Away | Golden State | -3.0 | W by 19 | +16.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Golden State | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | Portland | -7.0 | W by 43 | +36.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Chicago | -7.0 | W by 14 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Philadelphia | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.0 | W by 23 | +18.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Dallas | -5.0 | W by 6 | +1.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Houston | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | Golden State | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Utah | -13.0 | W by 14 | +1.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Sacramento | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Denver | +5.0 | W by 1 | +6.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Memphis | -10.5 | W by 19 | +8.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | LA Clippers | -6.5 | W by 19 | +12.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | LA Lakers | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| 12/26 | Home | Minnesota | -2.0 | W by 23 | +21.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | New York | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Denver | +2.0 | W by 26 | +28.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Boston | +4.0 | W by 4 | +8.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Atlanta | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Brooklyn | -5.0 | L by 9 | -14.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | Washington | -11.0 | W by 8 | -3.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miami | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Portland | -13.5 | W by 62 | +48.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Orlando | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | LA Clippers | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Portland | -13.5 | W by 2 | -11.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | San Antonio | -9.0 | W by 26 | +17.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | New Orleans | -1.0 | W by 24 | +23.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | L by 16 | -28.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Minnesota | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Denver | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Charlotte | -15.5 | W by 20 | +4.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Toronto | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Dallas | -1.0 | L by 35 | -36.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Sacramento | -3.5 | W by 14 | +10.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Orlando | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | LA Clippers | -1.5 | W by 22 | +20.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Washington | -16.0 | W by 41 | +25.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Houston | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Houston | -10.0 | W by 17 | +7.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | San Antonio | -11.0 | L by 14 | -25.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Phoenix | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | Portland | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Memphis | -15.0 | W by 31 | +16.0 |
| 03/12 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | Dallas | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | Memphis | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | Utah | -16.0 | W by 12 | -4.0 |
| 03/22 | Away | Toronto | -16.5 | W by 20 | +3.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | Milwaukee | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| 03/26 | Away | New Orleans | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Houston | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 03/29 | Home | Phoenix | +2.0 | W by 25 | +27.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | New York | -2.0 | W by 1 | -1.0 |
| 04/02 | Away | Philadelphia | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 04/03 | Away | Boston | +12.0 | L by 35 | -23.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Indiana | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | Sacramento | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | San Antonio | -17.0 | W by 38 | +21.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Milwaukee | -14.0 | W by 18 | +4.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Dallas | -19.5 | W by 49 | +29.5 |
| 04/21 | Home | New Orleans | -9.0 | W by 2 | -7.0 |
| 04/24 | Home | New Orleans | -7.5 | W by 32 | +24.5 |
| 04/27 | Away | New Orleans | -1.5 | W by 21 | +19.5 |
| OKC -3.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season there have been 1097 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Oklahoma City won the game 640 times (58.3%).
- The team like Minnesota won the game 457 times (41.7%).
- The team like Oklahoma City did better against the spread, going 552-533-12 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 1335 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 657-655-23 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.0 | -3.5 |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.5 | -3.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/06 08:03 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/06 07:43 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/06 07:37 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 07:35 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/06 07:28 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 07:03 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/06 07:03 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 06:50 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 06:45 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 12/06 06:13 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 05:45 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/06 05:40 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 05:18 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 04:03 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/06 03:52 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 03:17 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 03:06 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 01:43 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/06 01:34 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 01:31 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 01:11 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 12:37 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 12:33 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/06 12:32 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 12:25 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 12/06 11:23 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/06 11:09 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 10:48 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 10:28 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 09:58 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 12/06 09:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/06 09:23 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/06 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/05 06:15 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 04:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/05 04:30 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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