NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN OKC
Points 109.8 111.0
Total Points   220.8
Points From 2-Pointers 50.9 56.4
Points From 3-Pointers 39.6 35.8
Points From Free Throws 19.3 18.7
Shooting MIN OKC
Field Goals Made 38.7 40.1
Field Goals Attempted 84.3 86.3
Field Goal % 45.9% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 25.5 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 49.9 55.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 34.4 31.0
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 19.3 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 22.8
Free Throw % 77.8% 82.0%
Ball Control MIN OKC
Rebounds 50.2 45.9
Rebounds - Defensive 38.2 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 9.7
Turnovers 14.9 12.4
Blocked Shots 5.6 5.4
Steals 7.0 7.8
Fouls 17.8 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN OKC
Total Possessions 101.8
Effective Scoring Chances 98.9 99.2
% of Possessions with MIN OKC
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 27.3%
Player Fouled 17.9% 17.5%
Turnover 14.6% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN OKC
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 20.3%