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Portland at Miami
Fri Mar 29, 2024
8:00pm ET
Miami, FL
Portland at Miami: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Miami by 14, Total Points: 208.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | POR | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 39-41-2 | 43-44-2 | |
| vs Division | 7-9-0 | 9-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 23-29-0 | 29-28-2 | |
| Streak | L2 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 18-22-1 | 17-27-0 | |
| Away | 21-19-1 | 26-17-2 |
Portland Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | LA Clippers | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 10/27 | Home | Orlando | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | Philadelphia | +9.5 | L by 28 | -18.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Toronto | +10.0 | W by 8 | +18.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Detroit | +3.5 | W by 9 | +12.5 |
| 11/03 | Home | Memphis | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 11/05 | Home | Memphis | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 11/08 | Away | Sacramento | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | LA Lakers | +8.5 | L by 6 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Utah | +7.0 | L by 16 | -9.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Cleveland | +10.0 | L by 14 | -4.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | LA Lakers | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Okla City | +7.0 | L by 43 | -36.0 |
| 11/21 | Away | Phoenix | +12.0 | L by 13 | -1.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Utah | +3.5 | W by 16 | +19.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | Milwaukee | +13.0 | L by 6 | +7.0 |
| 11/27 | Away | Indiana | +12.0 | W by 4 | +16.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Cleveland | +12.0 | W by 8 | +20.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Utah | +1.5 | L by 5 | -3.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Golden State | +12.5 | L by 4 | +8.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | Dallas | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | LA Clippers | +14.0 | L by 5 | +9.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | Utah | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Dallas | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Golden State | +6.0 | L by 4 | +2.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Phoenix | +7.0 | W by 5 | +12.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Washington | -4.0 | L by 1 | -5.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | Golden State | +8.0 | L by 20 | -12.0 |
| 12/26 | Home | Sacramento | +9.0 | W by 17 | +26.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | San Antonio | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | San Antonio | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/01 | Away | Phoenix | +9.5 | L by 21 | -11.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Dallas | +10.5 | L by 29 | -18.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Dallas | +7.0 | L by 36 | -29.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Brooklyn | +9.5 | W by 7 | +16.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | New York | +13.0 | L by 28 | -15.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Okla City | +13.5 | L by 62 | -48.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Minnesota | +16.0 | L by 23 | -7.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Phoenix | +14.0 | L by 11 | +3.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Brooklyn | +5.5 | W by 2 | +7.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Indiana | +8.0 | W by 3 | +11.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | LA Lakers | +11.5 | L by 24 | -12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Okla City | +13.5 | L by 2 | +11.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Houston | +10.0 | W by 6 | +16.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | San Antonio | +5.0 | L by 16 | -11.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Chicago | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Philadelphia | +5.0 | W by 26 | +31.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Milwaukee | +10.5 | W by 3 | +13.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Denver | +14.5 | L by 12 | +2.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Denver | +15.0 | L by 9 | +6.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Detroit | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | New Orleans | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Minnesota | +8.5 | L by 12 | -3.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Minnesota | +9.5 | L by 37 | -27.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Denver | +8.0 | L by 15 | -7.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Charlotte | -3.5 | L by 13 | -16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Miami | +6.5 | L by 10 | -3.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Memphis | +1.0 | W by 30 | +31.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Memphis | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 03/04 | Away | Minnesota | +15.5 | L by 5 | +10.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | Okla City | +13.0 | L by 8 | +5.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Houston | +6.5 | L by 16 | -9.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Toronto | +2.5 | W by 10 | +12.5 |
| 03/11 | Home | Boston | +11.0 | L by 22 | -11.0 |
| 03/13 | Home | Atlanta | +4.5 | W by 4 | +8.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | New York | +12.0 | L by 12 | 0.0 |
| 03/16 | Away | New Orleans | +13.0 | L by 19 | -6.0 |
| 03/18 | Away | Chicago | +8.5 | L by 3 | +5.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | LA Clippers | +12.0 | L by 13 | -1.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | LA Clippers | +14.5 | L by 8 | +6.5 |
| 03/23 | Home | Denver | +10.5 | L by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/25 | Away | Houston | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 03/27 | Away | Atlanta | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Miami | +14.0 | L by 60 | -46.0 |
| 04/01 | Away | Orlando | +17.0 | L by 1 | +16.0 |
| 04/03 | Away | Charlotte | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Washington | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Boston | +17.0 | L by 17 | 0.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | New Orleans | +14.0 | L by 10 | +4.0 |
| 04/11 | Home | Golden State | +13.0 | L by 8 | +5.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Houston | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Sacramento | +17.5 | L by 39 | -21.5 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 1 | -8.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Memphis | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Atlanta | +7.5 | W by 8 | +15.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | San Antonio | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Charlotte | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Cleveland | +1.5 | W by 33 | +34.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | New York | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Brooklyn | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Toronto | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Cleveland | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Orlando | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Golden State | +6.5 | W by 12 | +18.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | LA Clippers | +8.0 | L by 17 | -9.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 16 | -13.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Orlando | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Toronto | -3.0 | L by 24 | -27.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Orlando | +1.0 | L by 18 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Memphis | -11.5 | L by 9 | -20.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Boston | +8.5 | L by 33 | -24.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | New York | +4.5 | L by 16 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Phoenix | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Sacramento | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Washington | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 26 | +22.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | San Antonio | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Boston | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | W by 26 | +33.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | New Orleans | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Sacramento | +7.5 | W by 11 | +18.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 8 | -3.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Dallas | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Okla City | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Washington | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Detroit | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Philadelphia | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | L by 23 | -26.0 |
| 03/24 | Home | Cleveland | -3.5 | W by 37 | +33.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Golden State | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Portland | -14.0 | W by 60 | +46.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Washington | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 04/04 | Home | Philadelphia | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Indiana | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Dallas | +2.5 | L by 19 | -16.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Toronto | -14.0 | W by 22 | +8.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Toronto | -16.0 | W by 15 | -1.0 |
| 04/17 | Away | Philadelphia | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 04/19 | Home | Chicago | -2.0 | W by 21 | +19.0 |
| 04/21 | Away | Boston | +14.5 | L by 20 | -5.5 |
| 04/24 | Away | Boston | +14.0 | W by 10 | +24.0 |
| 04/27 | Home | Boston | +9.5 | L by 20 | -10.5 |
| 04/29 | Home | Boston | +10.5 | L by 14 | -3.5 |
| 05/01 | Away | Boston | +13.5 | L by 34 | -20.5 |
| MIA -14.0 | Open | -14.5 | High | -14.5 |
| Last | -13.5 | Low | -13.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA season there have been 224 games where the closing line favored the home team by 13 to 15 points. In these games:
- The team like Miami won the game 201 times (89.7%).
- The team like Portland won the game 23 times (10.3%).
- The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 116-105-3 (52.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NBA season there have been 1405 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Portland did better against the spread, going 695-686-24 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.0 | -14.5 | -- |
| Open | -14.0 | -14.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/29 08:08 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 03/29 08:01 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 07:56 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 07:49 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 07:46 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 07:43 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 07:37 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 07:20 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 07:13 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 07:10 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 07:04 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 06:52 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 06:49 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 06:44 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 06:37 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 06:04 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 05:16 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 05:13 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 05:10 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 03:25 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 02:58 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 02:43 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 02:34 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 02:25 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 02:01 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 12:44 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 12:25 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 11:22 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 11:07 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 10:48 AM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 03/29 10:37 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 10:20 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 09:58 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 09:48 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 03/29 09:37 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 09:28 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 08:58 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 08:49 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 08:07 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 07:58 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 10:16 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
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