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Miss State at Kentucky
Tue Jan 25, 2022
9:00pm ET
Lexington, KY
Miss State at Kentucky: Over/Under Analysis
Odds: Kentucky by 9, Total Points: 142
Over/Under Situational Trends
| Record | MSST | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-19-0 | 23-10-0 |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| vs Conference | 10-11-0 | 13-6-0 |
| Streak | Un 4 | Un 1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 |
| Home | 8-7-0 | 15-3-0 |
| Away | 8-12-0 | 8-7-0 |
Records denote overs-unders-pushes
Miss State Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | 131.0 | 71-56 | Under | -4.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | 140.0 | 87-63 | Over | +10.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | 138.5 | 81-54 | Under | -3.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | 131.0 | 76-64 | Over | +9.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | 128.0 | 66-57 | Under | -5.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | 137.0 | 74-61 | Under | -2.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | 137.5 | 59-67 | Under | -11.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | 142.0 | 59-60 | Under | -23.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | 150.0 | 106-76 | Over | +32.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | 137.0 | 85-81 | Over | +29.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | 125.5 | 72-54 | Over | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | 131.0 | 70-60 | Under | -1.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | 140.5 | 85-62 | Over | +6.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | 134.5 | 62-68 | Under | -4.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | 138.0 | 77-72 | Over | +11.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | 154.0 | 74-82 | Over | +2.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | 156.0 | 77-90 | Over | +11.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | 136.5 | 68-55 | Under | -13.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | 150.5 | 70-79 | Under | -1.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | 144.5 | 64-58 | Under | -22.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | 139.5 | 82-86 | Over | +28.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | 157.5 | 67-99 | Over | +8.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | 143.0 | 75-62 | Under | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | 140.0 | 75-51 | Under | -14.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | 144.5 | 71-67 | Under | -6.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | 141.0 | 83-71 | Over | +13.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | 143.5 | 87-67 | Over | +10.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | 156.5 | 89-91 | Over | +23.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | 146.0 | 63-78 | Under | -5.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | 139.0 | 69-75 | Over | +5.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | 133.5 | 89-93 | Over | +48.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | 142.0 | 70-60 | Under | -12.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | 141.5 | 73-56 | Under | -12.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | 141.5 | 66-73 | Under | -2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | 130.5 | 51-69 | Under | -10.5 |
Kentucky Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Mex State | 142.0 | 86-46 | Under | -10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | TX A&M-Com | 143.0 | 81-61 | Under | -1.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Kansas | 148.5 | 84-89 | Over | +24.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Stonehill | 146.0 | 101-67 | Over | +22.0 |
| 11/20 | Home | St Josephs | 151.5 | 96-88 | Over | +32.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Marshall | 157.5 | 118-82 | Over | +42.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Miami | 163.0 | 95-73 | Over | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | 151.5 | 73-80 | Over | +1.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | U Penn | 151.0 | 81-66 | Under | -4.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | N Carolina | 164.0 | 87-83 | Over | +6.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Louisville | 155.5 | 95-76 | Over | +15.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Illinois St | 149.5 | 96-70 | Over | +16.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Florida | 170.0 | 87-85 | Over | +2.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Missouri | 160.0 | 90-77 | Over | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Texas A&M | 156.0 | 92-97 | Over | +33.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Miss State | 156.0 | 90-77 | Over | +11.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Georgia | 163.5 | 105-96 | Over | +37.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | S Carolina | 155.5 | 62-79 | Under | -14.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Arkansas | 163.0 | 63-57 | Under | -43.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Florida | 170.5 | 91-94 | Over | +14.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Tennessee | 158.5 | 92-103 | Over | +36.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Vanderbilt | 152.0 | 109-77 | Over | +34.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Gonzaga | 171.5 | 85-89 | Over | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Mississippi | 162.5 | 75-63 | Under | -24.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Auburn | 164.5 | 70-59 | Under | -35.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | LSU | 163.5 | 74-75 | Under | -14.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Alabama | 176.0 | 117-95 | Over | +36.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Miss State | 156.5 | 91-89 | Over | +23.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Arkansas | 164.5 | 111-102 | Over | +48.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | Vanderbilt | 162.0 | 93-77 | Over | +8.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Tennessee | 167.5 | 85-81 | Under | -1.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Texas A&M | 160.0 | 87-97 | Over | +24.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Oakland | 160.5 | 76-80 | Under | -4.5 |
| Total 142.0 | Open | 147.0 | High | 147.0 |
| Last | 141.5 | Low | 141.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2341 games with over/under lines between 141 and 143. In these games:
- Games have gone over the line 1178 times (50.3%).
- Games have gone under the line 1129 times (48.2%).
- Games have pushed the line 34 times (1.5%).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 90 games where the closing over/under line moved 5 points lower than the opening over/under line.
In these games, the under performed better, going 45-43-2 (51.1%). Game totals went over the line by an average of 1.7 points.
Totals History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 142.5 | 142.0 | 142.0 |
| Open | 147.0 | 147.0 | 147.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/25 08:58 PM | 142.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 08:28 PM | 142.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 05:47 PM | 142.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 04:11 PM | 142.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 12:56 PM | 141.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 12:34 PM | 141.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 10:55 AM | -- | -- | 142.0 |
| 01/25 10:45 AM | -- | -- | 141.5 |
| 01/25 09:55 AM | -- | -- | 141.5 |
| 01/25 09:54 AM | -- | 142.0 | -- |
| 01/25 09:40 AM | 141.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 09:25 AM | 142.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 09:24 AM | -- | 142.5 | -- |
| 01/25 09:15 AM | -- | -- | 142.5 |
| 01/25 09:14 AM | -- | 144.0 | -- |
| 01/25 09:11 AM | 142.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 08:58 AM | 143.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 08:25 AM | -- | -- | 143.5 |
| 01/25 08:04 AM | -- | 144.0 | -- |
| 01/25 07:55 AM | -- | -- | 144.0 |
| 01/25 07:35 AM | -- | -- | 144.0 |
| 01/25 05:58 AM | 144.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 02:25 AM | -- | -- | 145.0 |
| 01/24 11:40 PM | 144.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 10:44 PM | -- | 145.5 | -- |
| 01/24 10:05 PM | -- | -- | 147.0 |
| 01/24 08:07 PM | 146.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 04:44 PM | -- | 147.0 | -- |
| 01/24 04:22 PM | 147.0 | -- | -- |
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