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Miss State at Kentucky
Tue Jan 25, 2022
9:00pm ET
Lexington, KY
Miss State at Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Kentucky by 9, Total Points: 142
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSST | adv | UK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-17-1 | 18-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-11-1 | 10-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-8-1 | 8-10-0 | |
| Away | 11-9-0 | 10-5-0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Mex State | -15.0 | W by 40 | +25.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -29.0 | W by 20 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Stonehill | -37.5 | W by 34 | -3.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | St Josephs | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Marshall | -18.5 | W by 36 | +17.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Miami | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -18.0 | L by 7 | -25.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | U Penn | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | N Carolina | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 19 | +5.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Illinois St | -20.0 | W by 26 | +6.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Florida | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 13 | +1.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Miss State | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Georgia | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Arkansas | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Florida | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Tennessee | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | W by 32 | +23.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Gonzaga | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Mississippi | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Auburn | +8.5 | W by 11 | +19.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | LSU | -6.5 | L by 1 | -7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Alabama | -2.5 | W by 22 | +19.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Miss State | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Arkansas | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Vanderbilt | -18.0 | W by 16 | -2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Tennessee | +8.5 | W by 4 | +12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Oakland | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
| UK -9.0 | Open | -9.5 | High | -9.5 |
| Last | -9.5 | Low | -9.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2341 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8 to 10 points. In these games:
- The team like Kentucky won the game 1900 times (81.2%).
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 441 times (18.8%).
- The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 1143-1142-56 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4774 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 2362-2318-94 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -9.0 | -9.0 |
| Open | -9.5 | -9.5 | -9.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/25 08:58 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 08:17 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 05:47 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 04:05 PM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 01/25 02:35 PM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 01/25 01:15 PM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 01/25 01:14 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 01/25 12:56 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 09:40 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 09:37 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 09:07 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 08:58 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 08:10 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 11:40 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 01/24 08:07 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 04:44 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 01/24 04:22 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
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