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Illinois vs. Connecticut
Sat Mar 30, 2024
6:09pm ET
Boston, MA
(Neutral Site)
Illinois vs. Connecticut: Over/Under Analysis
Odds: Connecticut by 8, Total Points: 154.5
Over/Under Situational Trends
| Record | ILL | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| Season | 26-12-0 | 16-23-1 |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| vs Conference | 18-5-0 | 11-12-0 |
| Streak | Un 2 | Un 7 |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 0-5-0 |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 1-9-0 |
| Home | 10-8-0 | 8-7-1 |
| Away | 16-4-0 | 8-16-0 |
Records denote overs-unders-pushes
Illinois Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | E Illinois | 143.5 | 80-52 | Under | -11.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Oakland | 151.5 | 64-53 | Under | -34.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Marquette | 149.0 | 64-71 | Under | -14.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Valparaiso | 139.0 | 87-64 | Over | +12.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Southern | 147.5 | 88-60 | Over | +0.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | W Illinois | 145.5 | 84-52 | Under | -9.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Rutgers | 138.0 | 76-58 | Under | -4.0 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | 146.5 | 98-89 | Over | +40.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Tennessee | 145.0 | 79-86 | Over | +20.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Colgate | 145.5 | 74-57 | Under | -14.5 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Missouri | 149.0 | 97-73 | Over | +21.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | F Dickinson | 162.5 | 104-71 | Over | +12.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Northwestern | 140.5 | 96-66 | Over | +21.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Purdue | 151.0 | 78-83 | Over | +10.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Michigan St | 150.5 | 71-68 | Under | -11.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Maryland | 138.5 | 67-76 | Over | +4.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | Michigan | 153.0 | 88-73 | Over | +8.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Rutgers | 143.0 | 86-63 | Over | +6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Northwestern | 145.5 | 91-96 | Over | +41.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Indiana | 155.5 | 70-62 | Under | -23.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio St | 146.5 | 87-75 | Over | +15.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Nebraska | 154.5 | 87-84 | Over | +16.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Michigan St | 145.5 | 80-88 | Over | +22.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Michigan | 153.5 | 97-68 | Over | +11.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Maryland | 139.0 | 85-80 | Over | +26.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Penn St | 156.5 | 89-90 | Over | +22.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Iowa | 166.0 | 95-85 | Over | +14.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Minnesota | 155.5 | 105-97 | Over | +46.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wisconsin | 152.0 | 91-83 | Over | +22.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Purdue | 164.5 | 71-77 | Under | -16.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Iowa | 171.0 | 73-61 | Under | -37.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Ohio St | 150.5 | 77-74 | Over | +0.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Nebraska | 154.5 | 98-87 | Over | +30.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Wisconsin | 147.0 | 93-87 | Over | +33.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Morehead St | 146.5 | 85-69 | Over | +7.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Duquesne | 147.0 | 89-63 | Over | +5.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Iowa St | 147.5 | 72-69 | Under | -6.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Connecticut | 154.5 | 52-77 | Under | -25.5 |
Connecticut Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Arizona | 141.5 | 95-52 | Over | +5.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Stonehill | 140.0 | 107-67 | Over | +34.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Miss Val St | 147.5 | 87-53 | Under | -7.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Indiana | 140.5 | 77-57 | Under | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Texas | 144.5 | 81-71 | Over | +7.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Manhattan | 140.5 | 90-60 | Over | +9.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Hampshire | 152.5 | 84-64 | Under | -4.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Kansas | 148.5 | 65-69 | Under | -14.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | N Carolina | 151.5 | 87-76 | Over | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | 164.0 | 101-63 | Push | 0.0 |
| 12/15 | Neutral | Gonzaga | 153.0 | 76-63 | Under | -14.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | Seton Hall | 140.0 | 60-75 | Under | -5.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | St Johns | 148.0 | 69-65 | Under | -14.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | DePaul | 137.5 | 85-56 | Over | +3.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Butler | 144.5 | 88-81 | Over | +24.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Xavier | 147.5 | 80-75 | Over | +7.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Georgetown | 145.0 | 80-67 | Over | +2.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Creighton | 146.0 | 62-48 | Under | -36.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Villanova | 139.5 | 66-65 | Under | -8.5 |
| 01/28 | Home | Xavier | 147.5 | 99-56 | Over | +7.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Providence | 137.5 | 74-65 | Over | +1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | St Johns | 145.5 | 77-64 | Under | -4.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Butler | 145.0 | 71-62 | Under | -12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Georgetown | 143.0 | 89-64 | Over | +10.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | DePaul | 141.5 | 101-65 | Over | +24.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Marquette | 147.5 | 81-53 | Under | -13.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Creighton | 144.5 | 66-85 | Over | +6.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Villanova | 133.5 | 78-54 | Under | -1.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Seton Hall | 140.5 | 91-61 | Over | +11.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Marquette | 151.5 | 74-67 | Under | -10.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Providence | 139.5 | 74-60 | Under | -5.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Xavier | 152.0 | 87-60 | Under | -5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | St Johns | 149.5 | 95-90 | Over | +35.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Marquette | 143.0 | 73-57 | Under | -13.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Stetson | 145.5 | 91-52 | Under | -2.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Northwestern | 136.5 | 75-58 | Under | -3.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | San Diego St | 136.5 | 82-52 | Under | -2.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Illinois | 154.5 | 77-52 | Under | -25.5 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Alabama | 160.0 | 86-72 | Under | -2.0 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Purdue | 143.0 | 75-60 | Under | -8.0 |
| Total 154.5 | Open | 154.5 | High | 155.5 |
| Last | 155.5 | Low | 154.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1128 games with over/under lines between 153.5 and 155.5. In these games:
- Games have gone over the line 535 times (47.4%).
- Games have gone under the line 584 times (51.8%).
- Games have pushed the line 9 times (0.8%).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1637 games where the closing over/under line moved 1 point lower than the opening over/under line.
In these games, the over performed better, going 862-756-19 (53.3%). Game totals went over the line by an average of 1.6 points.
Totals History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 154.5 | 153.5 | -- |
| Open | 154.5 | 155.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/30 06:06 PM | -- | 153.5 | -- |
| 03/30 05:59 PM | 154.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 05:43 PM | 155.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 05:36 PM | -- | 155.5 | -- |
| 03/30 05:16 PM | 155.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 05:16 PM | -- | 155.5 | -- |
| 03/30 04:52 PM | -- | 154.5 | -- |
| 03/30 04:43 PM | 155.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 04:25 PM | 155.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 03:04 PM | 155.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 02:28 PM | -- | 155.5 | -- |
| 03/30 01:49 PM | 154.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 01:28 PM | -- | 155.5 | -- |
| 03/30 01:13 PM | 154.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 12:40 PM | 155.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 12:35 PM | -- | 155.5 | -- |
| 03/30 12:33 PM | -- | 155.5 | -- |
| 03/30 12:31 PM | 155.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 12:07 PM | 154.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 11:13 AM | 155.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 10:28 AM | 155.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 10:01 AM | 155.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 09:55 AM | 155.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 08:46 AM | 155.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 08:19 AM | 155.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 07:22 AM | 155.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 07:19 AM | 156.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 06:13 AM | 156.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 05:10 AM | 155.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 05:07 AM | 156.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 02:55 AM | 155.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 01:19 AM | 155.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 09:49 PM | 155.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 03:49 PM | 155.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 12:09 PM | -- | 155.5 | -- |
| 03/29 11:31 AM | -- | 154.5 | -- |
| 03/29 10:22 AM | -- | 154.5 | -- |
| 03/29 09:43 AM | 155.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 09:38 AM | -- | 154.5 | -- |
| 03/29 09:26 AM | -- | 154.5 | -- |
| 03/29 08:08 AM | 155.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 03:40 AM | 154.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 01:41 AM | 154.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 01:19 AM | -- | 155.5 | -- |
| 03/29 12:49 AM | 154.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 12:44 AM | -- | 155.5 | -- |
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