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Illinois vs. Connecticut
Sat Mar 30, 2024
6:09pm ET
Boston, MA
(Neutral Site)
Illinois vs. Connecticut: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Connecticut by 8, Total Points: 154.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | CONN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-14-3 | 28-12-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-9-1 | 15-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W7 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 9-1-0 | |
| Home | 7-9-2 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 14-5-1 | 19-5-0 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | E Illinois | -29.5 | W by 28 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Oakland | -24.5 | W by 11 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Marquette | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -29.5 | W by 23 | -6.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Southern | -25.0 | W by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | W Illinois | -27.0 | W by 32 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Rutgers | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Tennessee | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Colgate | -17.0 | W by 17 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Missouri | -6.5 | W by 24 | +17.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | F Dickinson | -25.5 | W by 33 | +7.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Northwestern | -5.5 | W by 30 | +24.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Purdue | +10.5 | L by 5 | +5.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Maryland | -9.0 | L by 9 | -18.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Michigan | -2.5 | W by 15 | +12.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Rutgers | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Northwestern | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Indiana | -15.0 | W by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Nebraska | -10.0 | W by 3 | -7.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Michigan St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Michigan | -15.5 | W by 29 | +13.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Maryland | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Penn St | -7.5 | L by 1 | -8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Iowa | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Ohio St | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Morehead St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Duquesne | -10.0 | W by 26 | +16.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Iowa St | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Connecticut | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
Connecticut Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Arizona | -26.5 | W by 43 | +16.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Stonehill | -38.0 | W by 40 | +2.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Miss Val St | -45.5 | W by 34 | -11.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Indiana | -11.0 | W by 20 | +9.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Texas | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Manhattan | -35.0 | W by 30 | -5.0 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Hampshire | -31.5 | W by 20 | -11.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Kansas | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | N Carolina | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -37.0 | W by 38 | +1.0 |
| 12/15 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Seton Hall | -8.0 | L by 15 | -23.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | St Johns | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | DePaul | -23.0 | W by 29 | +6.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Butler | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Xavier | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Georgetown | -21.0 | W by 13 | -8.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Creighton | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Villanova | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Xavier | -11.5 | W by 43 | +31.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Providence | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | St Johns | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Butler | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Georgetown | -16.0 | W by 25 | +9.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | DePaul | -24.5 | W by 36 | +11.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Marquette | -7.0 | W by 28 | +21.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Creighton | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Villanova | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Seton Hall | -15.5 | W by 30 | +14.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Marquette | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Providence | -9.0 | W by 14 | +5.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Xavier | -15.0 | W by 27 | +12.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | St Johns | -9.0 | W by 5 | -4.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Marquette | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Stetson | -27.5 | W by 39 | +11.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Northwestern | -13.5 | W by 17 | +3.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | San Diego St | -12.0 | W by 30 | +18.0 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Illinois | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Alabama | -10.0 | W by 14 | +4.0 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Purdue | -7.0 | W by 15 | +8.0 |
| CONN -8.0 | Open | -8.5 | High | -9.0 |
| Last | -8.5 | Low | -8.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 572 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 7 to 9 points. In these games:
- The team like Connecticut won the game 438 times (76.6%).
- The team like Illinois won the game 134 times (23.4%).
- The team like Connecticut did better against the spread, going 282-279-11 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 5239 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Connecticut did better against the spread, going 2577-2559-103 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.0 | -8.5 | -- |
| Open | -9.0 | -8.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/30 06:07 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 05:43 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 05:23 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 03/30 05:07 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 04:43 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 04:25 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 03:10 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 03:07 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 02:19 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 02:13 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 12:57 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 03/30 12:31 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 12:07 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 11:40 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 11:13 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 10:28 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 10:21 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 03/30 09:55 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 09:40 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 03/30 07:55 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 07:22 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 07:19 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 05:10 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 05:07 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 02:58 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 02:55 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 02:00 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 03/30 01:28 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/30 12:26 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 03/29 10:04 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 09:49 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 03:49 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 10:04 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 09:43 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 08:08 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 03:40 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 01:41 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 12:49 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 12:49 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
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