Now that the NCAAB season has ended, we are re-evaluating the Staff Picks feature and will provide an update to subscribers when ready. If you have feedback or suggestions, please let us know here.

Sport

All NFL MLB NCAAF NBA NCAAB

View

Latest Futures Graded

Type

All Run Line Moneyline Over/Under Prop

Past Picks

MLB futures picks are 2-1, for +0.7 units of profit (assuming 1 unit risked on every pick).

Have feedback or requests? Let us know »

Published Mar 29 6:40pm ET
Team Future

Astros Under 95.5 Wins -112

Won: 85-71 with 6 games left

2023 MLB Season

More info

How it wins: The Houston Astros win fewer than 96 games in the 2023 Regular Season.

Staff notes:

  • Our projections give Houston a 56.2% chance of finishing with fewer than 96 wins, with an average projected win total of 94.3.
  • Houston opens the season with several notable injuries, with Lance McCullers Jr., Jose Altuve, and Michael Brantley expected to miss significant time.
  • Houston's starting rotation depth has taken a hit this year with the loss of defending Cy Young winner Justin Verlander, and has very limited depth in the minor leagues. The team is now counting on 24-year-old rookie Hunter Brown to offset the 175 innings contributed by Verlander last season.
  • Divisional opponents Seattle, Texas, and Los Angeles have also added considerable talent in the offseason.

Pick published: Mar 29 6:40pm ET, available at that time at FanDuel.

Published Mar 29 6:40pm ET
Team Future

White Sox Under 83.5 Wins -130

Won: 60-96 with 6 games left

2023 MLB Season

More info

How it wins: The Chicago White Sox finish with fewer than 84 wins in the 2023 Regular Season.

Staff notes:

  • This line is available at both 83.5 and 82.5 at various books, but we see the best value on the 83.5 at a little higher juice.
  • Our projections give the White Sox a 59.8% chance of finishing with 83 or fewer wins, and 55.1% of finishing with 82 or fewer wins this season, with an average projected wins of 81.4.
  • The White Sox lost reliable first baseman Jose Abreu (133 OPS+) and starting pitcher Johnny Cueto (118 ERA +) in the offseason. In addition, star closer Liam Hendriks is recovering from treatment for non-Hodgkin's lympoma with an uncertain return date.
  • New starting pitcher addition Mike Clevinger has struggled in Spring Training after a poor 2022 season with San Diego in which he returned from elbow surgery and showed diminished velocity.
  • Starting pitcher Michael Kopech is returning from knee surgery and has continued to show diminished velocity during Spring Training. He's also attempting to rebound from a season in which his ERA (3.54) greatly exceeded his ERA metrics (4.50 FIP, 4.73 SIERA).
  • The White Sox lack minor league depth, with the 28th ranked farm system, according to Baseball America. 

Pick published: Mar 29 6:40pm ET, available at that time at FanDuel.

Published Mar 29 6:40pm ET
Team Future

Angels Over 81.5 Wins -130

Lost: 70-86 with 6 games left

2023 MLB Season

More info

How it wins: The Los Angeles Angels finish with more than 81 wins in the 2023 Regular Season.

Staff notes:

  • This line is available at 81.5 or 82.5 at various books, but we see the most value at this 81.5 number because our projections include a 4.8% chance the Angels finish with exactly 82 wins, and the juice difference is only -115 to -130 to get the extra win. 
  • We project the Angels for 82.8 wins on average.
  • Lacking depth in recent seasons, the Angels have addressed those issues with the notable additions of Brandon Drury, Gio Urshela, Hunter Renfroe, Tyler Anderson, Carlos Estevez, and Matt Moore during the offseason, plus the arrival of top prospect catcher Logan O'Hoppe.
  • The team has depth beyond their initial six-man rotation, with former top prospect Griffin Canning now beyond multiple seasons of arm issues and Chase Silseth available at Triple-A. Additionally, top relief pitching prospect Ben Joyce is expected to contribute in the bullpen this season.
  • Injuries have played a major role in the team's recent struggles, but they enter the year with nearly all of their key players healthy, including Mike Trout, Anthony Rendon, Shohei Ohtani, and Taylor Ward.
  • Team brass has noted significant offseason improvements in stuff from starting pitchers Reid Detmers and Jose Suarez.

Pick published: Mar 29 6:40pm ET, available at that time at PointsBet.